NC Deal Terms Index: October 3, 2026

October 3 edition · Closed sales recorded July 6–October 2, 2026

By Teresa Overcash, Broker/Owner, Realty ONE Group Results. We use the sales that happened, not a number chosen to make the market sound a certain way.

County results: July 6–October 2, 2026
Area	Closed sales	Median sale price	Median calendar days to contract	Timing sample	Seller paid something	Median when paid	Median sale-to-list	Net price reduction
Forsyth	1,256	$315,000	26	1,256	60.0%	$5,000	98.9%	39.7%
Guilford	1,490	$318,750	23	1,490	55.6%	$5,000	98.9%	36.8%
Davie	168	$331,305	19	168	55.4%	$5,000	99.0%	38.1%
Davidson	664	$299,000	33.5	664	56.9%	$6,135	99.4%	48.3%

Left without selling: county status exits
County	Closed	Expired	Withdrawn	All exits	Expired/withdrawn share
Forsyth	1,256	192	297	1,745	28.0%
Guilford	1,490	181	364	2,035	26.8%
Davie	168	13	28	209	19.6%
Davidson	664	51	131	846	21.5%
Total	3,578	437	820	4,835	26.0%

Forsyth County by closed sale price
Area	Closed sales	Median sale price	Median calendar days to contract	Timing sample	Seller paid something	Median when paid	Median sale-to-list	Net price reduction
Under $250,000	328	$200,000	26	328	48.8%	$5,000	98.0%	39.6%
$250,000 to under $400,000	575	$310,000	29	575	71.1%	$5,500	98.8%	44.0%
$400,000 to under $600,000	236	$482,500	29.5	236	55.5%	$5,000	99.1%	39.0%
$600,000 and up	117	$810,000	9	117	45.3%	$6,038	100.0%	20.5%

Guilford County by closed sale price
Area	Closed sales	Median sale price	Median calendar days to contract	Timing sample	Seller paid something	Median when paid	Median sale-to-list	Net price reduction
Under $250,000	456	$191,500	23	456	50.7%	$4,140	98.1%	37.5%
$250,000 to under $400,000	560	$316,450	24	560	63.4%	$6,500	98.9%	38.4%
$400,000 to under $600,000	286	$462,750	19.5	286	54.9%	$5,239	99.1%	37.8%
$600,000 and up	188	$756,500	21	188	45.7%	$5,000	99.5%	28.7%

Davie County by closed sale price
Area	Closed sales	Median sale price	Median calendar days to contract	Timing sample	Seller paid something	Median when paid	Median sale-to-list	Net price reduction
Under $250,000	39	$180,000	16	39	43.6%	$2,500	96.8%	33.3%
$250,000 to under $400,000	70	$319,500	30	70	70.0%	$5,500	99.7%	41.4%
$400,000 to under $600,000	37	$481,000	16	37	48.6%	$8,750	99.1%	35.1%
$600,000 and up	22	$682,500	15.5	22	40.9%	$3,000	97.7%	40.9%

Davidson County by closed sale price
Area	Closed sales	Median sale price	Median calendar days to contract	Timing sample	Seller paid something	Median when paid	Median sale-to-list	Net price reduction
Under $250,000	185	$209,000	22	185	51.4%	$5,250	98.6%	40.5%
$250,000 to under $400,000	331	$306,000	42	331	64.4%	$6,645	100.0%	53.5%
$400,000 to under $600,000	94	$465,750	44	94	50.0%	$9,500	99.5%	50.0%
$600,000 and up	54	$706,500	27.5	54	42.6%	$5,000	97.6%	40.7%

Five city views, one edition

City results within the four-county export
Area	Closed sales	Median sale price	Median calendar days to contract	Timing sample	Seller paid something	Median when paid	Median sale-to-list	Net price reduction
Winston-Salem	813	$299,900	24	813	58.9%	$5,000	98.7%	37.5%
Greensboro	842	$300,000	24	842	58.3%	$5,000	98.7%	39.1%
High Point	295	$260,000	17	295	49.2%	$5,000	98.7%	31.9%
Kernersville	202	$335,000	28.5	202	61.4%	$5,041	99.4%	36.6%
Clemmons	117	$415,000	23	117	53.0%	$5,000	99.3%	42.7%

Source: NC Deal Terms Index, October 3 edition. Current Index hub.

Main-floor primary comparison in this edition

In this edition’s included sales, median calendar days to contract were 22 for main-floor primary homes and 35 for the other group. That is an association, not proof that stairs cause slower sales. The earlier main-floor primary bedroom analysis retains its September 26 data; it has not been restamped as this edition.

Methodology and limits

Coverage: July 6–October 2, 2026. October 3 is the edition date. The requested window is July 6–October 3, 2026, inclusive. The last recorded closing in the supplied file is October 2. Expired and withdrawn counts cover the requested window through October 3. These are the dates represented by the supplied records, not a promise that later entries cannot be added to MLS.

Source: Teresa Overcash’s Triad MLS closed residential export and county expired/withdrawn file supplied October 3. The input has 3,618 sales across Forsyth, Guilford, Davie and Davidson. This edition includes 3,578 regular closed sales. There are no duplicate MLS identifiers or closing dates outside the requested window.

Comp-only sales are excluded from every calculation in this edition. The export contains exactly 20 C-COBA and 20 C-COFE records. The CSV does not establish whether these are complete results or a one-page cutoff. All 40 are excluded rather than treating uncertain coverage as complete. September 26 included comp-only sales; that inclusion difference means changes between editions are not a like-for-like trend.

Timing is calendar list-to-contract time, not native MLS DOM. We calculate contract date minus list date for every included sale, preserving September 26’s stated calendar-day definition. The supplied timing field differs from that calculation on 783 regular sales, so it is not used. All 3,578 included sales have valid dates. This measure should not be compared uncritically with native MLS DOM.

Sale-to-list is the median of each home’s closed price divided by its asking price at contract, not the ratio of two medians. A net price reduction means the asking price at contract is below the original asking price. Neither measure estimates a future negotiation result.

Zeros and blanks are treated the same way as September 26. Seller-paid share counts positive reported concessions among nonblank amounts. Recorded zeros stay in that denominator; blanks are excluded, never converted to zero. “Median when paid” uses positive amounts only. All included records have a reported amount; 1,525 are zero. A recorded zero cannot tell us whether nothing was paid or nothing was entered. The reported share may understate actual concessions.

“Left without selling” is (expired + withdrawn) divided by (regular closed + expired + withdrawn) in the requested period. The closed counts come from this edition’s comp-only-excluded cohort; county expired/withdrawn counts come from the separate supplied file. This is a status-exit ratio, not a probability that an individual property will fail: the county totals do not identify repeated listing episodes or relistings. No city-level exit rate is inferred from county totals.

City tables include the exact MLS city name within the four-county export, including cross-county portions present in that file. They are not county-wide proxies or claims to cover portions outside the supplied counties. Dedicated city pages require at least 100 closings. Price-band statistics are suppressed below 20 sales, not at 20. The top band includes sales at $600,000, not only sales above that price.

The Levels field is entirely empty. Primary-bedroom-on-main is populated for all 3,578 included sales with Yes/No values. We cannot separate true one-story homes from two-story homes with a main-floor primary. No construction-year analysis is made in this edition. No row-level identifiers are published.

These are observed closed-sale results, not a forecast, appraisal or promise about your house. No year-over-year change, inventory level, due diligence fee or earnest-money amount is inferred from this export.

Explore this edition

Edition archive

October 3, 2026: July 6–October 2 closing coverage.
September 26, 2026: June 29–September 25 coverage, retained unchanged.
September 12, 2026 historical snapshot: retained unchanged; not a freshly validated comparison.

What do these numbers mean for you?

Your property is not the median home. We can put the data beside your location, condition and competing listings.

Text Teresa at 336-262-3111 or email Teresa.